I think the article is more about the future than the present, I don’t think the are building all these data centers just to automate SWE

The Soviet Union isn’t exactly an outcome I’d hope for? I like the democracy option better than the pitchfork one

Why only scenarios where humans remain in control? I think the kind of AGI needed for radical abundance would be difficult to achieve in a way that also does not lead to ASI

Agreed, I think AGI->ASI. My happy radical abundance stories are happy ASI stories mostly. And therefore much less likely.

BDFL / Benevolent Machine God is definitely one of the ways you can get a happy attractor. Seems scary to roll the dice on.

And yep, I include non-human totalitarian outcomes in the unhappy bucket.